When the House of Representatives passed the impeachment motion against President Donald Trump, the lower house of the US Congress (Parliament), it was noted that only ten Republican members of the House voted in favor of the motion. 197 Republican members opposed impeachment of Trump. The resolution thus passed with a margin of 232–197, but after the January 6 incident, the American media’s presumption of a large number of Republican members leaving the trump proved to be incorrect. This has made the proposal to be passed in the Senate also uncertain. It will require the support of two-thirds or 67 members to pass it. But both Republican and Democratic parties have 50-50 members in the House. So the question is whether the Republican Party will break 17 senators?
Trump’s continued popularity within the party is a major reason for Republican MPs not to differ from Trump. The party’s support base stands firmly with Trump. This was also evident from the results of the opinion poll released on Wednesday. Analysts believe that after this survey, the likelihood of Republican senators leaving the trump has further diminished. The survey was done by the Ipsos agency for the website Axios.com.
According to this survey, in the opinion of the majority of Republican supporters, Trump is not responsible for the attack of Trump supporters on January 6 on Capitol Hill (Parliament House). Also, most Republican supporters agree that Trump has done the right thing by challenging the outcome of the last presidential election. He is also of the opinion that Trump should again contest the presidential election in 2024. When asked during the survey whether Trump should be immediately removed from the presidency in the wake of the January 6 incident, only 24 percent of people among the traditional supporters of the Republican Party said yes. That is, 76 percent of traditional Republican members opposed the immediate removal or impeachment of Trump under Article 25 of the US Constitution.
This means that if the impeachment motion was not passed and Trump was not sentenced in any court case, he would be able to contest the presidential election again in 2024. Also, the result of this survey also means that now the support base of traditional Republican leaders has decreased and Trump is the mainstay of the Republican Party. There is no surprise that given the sentiment of Republican supporters, only 10 Republican members in the House supported the impeachment motion.
On a question during the survey, 36 percent of Republican supporters called themselves “Trump Republicans”. Those who consider themselves “traditional Republicans” made up 56 percent. But there are also a large number of traditional Republicans who support Trump and his presidential election stance. On the question of whether Trump has benefited the party, 96 percent of people who consider themselves Trump Republicans said yes. But in ‘traditional Republicans’ there were five times more people who are unhappy with Trump’s behavior than ‘Trump Republicans’.
The website Axios said in its analysis that the result of this survey clearly means that Trump supporters will continue to be influential in the next processes of choosing a party candidate. Also, if Trump was expelled from the party or he left the party, a large proportion of Republican party supporters would go with him. In that case, the Republican Party will be weakened, which the Democratic Party can benefit immediately. Chris Jackson, senior vice president of public affairs affairs at the Ipsos Survey Agency, wrote that the support base of the Republican Party has grown considerably over the last four years. A large number of supporters do not think that their future is associated with Trump. But Trump’s supporters are staunch. Now it remains to be seen whether these fanatical and united people prove to be more decisive than less committed but more number of supporters.